Child Survival Status in India.

The National Health Mission (NHM, previously called National Rural Health Mission) was launched by Government of India in 2005 to make architectural correction of the Health system. One of the primary Goals of the Mission was to reduce Under five Mortality rate (U5MR) vis a vis Global commitment made under Millennium development Goals especially Goal numbering 4. Although, India still contributes to about one fifth of U5MR and Maternal Mortality rate but unfortunately it contributes to one third of Global Neonatal Mortality Rate. In sheer numbers alone, these rates are alarming. However, India has achieved a faster pace of reduction in U5MR by 46.5% in comparison to 41% for the entire world. In this article, data from Sample Registration System of the Registrar General of India which is available for most of the States/UTs has been analyzed for child health indicators in the country. In the next NHM phase, focused efforts need to be made with state specific Goals so as that the desired targets could be achieved.

Utility of Prevention of Parent-to-Child Transmission (PPTCT) Programme data for HIV surveillance in general population.

Background & objective: HIV sentinel surveillance (HSS) among antenatal clinic (ANC) attendees is used to monitor HIV trends in general population. Recently, information on HIV infection has also become available from prevention of parent-to-child transmission (PPTCT) programmes. Systematic appraisal of routinely collected programme data is needed for choosing a scientific, cost-effective, and ethical surveillance strategy. In this study HIV prevalence estimates obtained from PPTCT programme and HSS were compared to find out the utility of PPTCT programme data for HIV surveillance. Methods: The data of HSS and PPTCT programme were obtained from National AIDS Control Organization, New Delhi. A list of PPTCT programme sites where ANC HSS was also conducted during 2005 to 2007 was prepared. HIV prevalence and 95 per cent confidence interval (CI) were estimated from antenatal attendees in PPTCT and HSS. Correlation coefficient of HIV prevalence in PPTCT and HSS was also examined according to the level of HIV test acceptance in PPTCT programme. Pregnant women presenting directly for labour in PPTCT centers were not included in the analyses. Results: In 2007, HIV test acceptance ranged from 8 to 100 per cent (average 76%) in 372 sites where both PPTCT and HSS were carried out. HIV prevalence was similar in the PPTCT (0.68%, 95% CI 0.66%, 0.70%) as compared to the HSS (0.61%, 95% CI 0.58%, 0.66%). Overall the correlation of HIV prevalence between PPTCT and HSS was quite high at state level (r = 0.9) but low at district or site level (r = 0.6). Interpretation & conclusions: HIV prevalence estimates among pregnant women in PPTCT program were similar to that of ANC HSS. Routinely collected PPTCT program data therefore has potential for providing reliable HIV time trends in various states of India.

Improved estimates of India's HIV burden in 2006.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE: HIV estimates in India were based on HIV sentinel surveillance (HSS) data and several assumptions. Expansion of sentinel surveillance to all districts and community based HIV prevalence measured by National Family Health Survey-3 (NFHS-3) in 2006 provided opportunity to replace many of the assumptions with evidence based information and improve the HIV estimate closer to reality. This article presents a detailed account of the methodology used for the 2006 HIV burden estimates for India. METHODS: State-wise adult HIV prevalence among different risk groups observed from HSS 2006 was adjusted for site level variations using a random effects model and for the previous four years the same was back calculated using trend equations derived from a mixed effects logistic regression model based on consistent sites prevalence. The adjusted HIV prevalence among the general population was calibrated to the estimates from NFHS-3. Overall point estimates of adult HIV prevalence in each State for 2002-2006 were derived from the UNAIDS Workbook and projected for the period 1985-2010. The results were put into Spectrum to derive estimates of the number of people living with HIV in all ages and other epidemic impacts. RESULTS: National adult HIV prevalence was 0.36 per cent (range 0.29-0.46%) and the estimated number of people living with HIV was 2.47 million (range 2.0-3.1 million) in 2006. The national adult HIV prevalence remains stable around 0.4 per cent between 2002 and 2006. The States with the highest estimated prevalence were Manipur, Nagaland and Andhra Pradesh. The States with the highest burden were Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSION: The improvement in the 2006 estimates of the HIV burden in India is attributable to the expanded sentinel surveillance and representative data from the population-based survey in 2006, combined with an improved analysis. Despite the downward revision, India continues to face a formidable challenge to provide prevention, treatment and care to those in need.